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Draymond Green

Draymond Green Points
Player Prop - 12/6/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Draymond Green has converted 41.6% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 4th-best in in the league as the home team with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Draymond Green will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Draymond Green has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.5).

The Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-slowest tempo visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Draymond Green has failed to convert 1.6 foul shot attempts per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's missed in all games this season.

As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line as the home team: 6th-worst in the league this year, averaging just 20.3 foul shots per game.

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