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Draymond Green

Draymond Green Points
Player Prop - 4/12/2024

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 5.4 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, creating a strong matchup.

The 7th-speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Warriors.

The Golden State Warriors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.6 free throws per game (10th-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, easily managing to draw fouls.

Draymond Green will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Draymond Green has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Warriors will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 6th-slowest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

As a team, the Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line in recent days: worst in the league over the last 25 games, drawing just 16.2 foul shot attempts per game.

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