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Draymond Green

Draymond Green Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, making this a favorable matchup.

The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Warriors.

The Golden State Warriors are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Draymond Green has averaged a mere 26.7 minutes per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 31.4 minutes per game last season.

Draymond Green has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (96th percentile).

As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been poor at drawing fouls recently: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games with a mere 16.2 foul shots per game.

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Draymond Green should suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats due to being on the road in this matchup.

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