Draymond Green Points - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2023

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · May 6, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 8:16 PM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has made 53.1% of his field goal attempts this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Draymond Green has played 30.7 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Lakers are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 26th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (12.6).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the speediest pace in the league this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Warriors.

Favors Under

Draymond Green has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
On their home court, the Lakers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been lousy at getting to the free throw line: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a measly 20.4 free throws per game.
Draymond Green will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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