Draymond Green Points - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2023

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 26, 2023

Updated Apr 26, 2023 2:06 PM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has successfully made 53.2% of his shots from the field this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Draymond Green has averaged 30.6 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The matchup against Sacramento is a good one; when the Kings are on their home court, they have given up the 22nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.9).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year.
The Kings have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Warriors.

Favors Under

Draymond Green has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (96th percentile).
Draymond Green has converted 68.6% of his free throw attempts this year, ranking in the 24th percentile out of all players in the league.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the foul line: worst in the NBA this year, totaling just 20.3 foul shots per game.
Draymond Green will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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