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Draymond Green

Draymond Green Points
Player Prop - 4/15/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -138 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Draymond Green has made 54.1% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.

Draymond Green has tallied 30.5 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The matchup vs. the Kings is a good one; they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs over the last 25 games (18.3).

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league this year.

The Golden State Warriors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Draymond Green has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (96th percentile).

The Kings have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Warriors.

As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the free throw line: worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.2 free throws per game.

Draymond Green will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player performance across the board.

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