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Draymond Green

Draymond Green Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Draymond Green has made 54.5% of his shots from the field this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Draymond Green has played 30.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are at home, opposing starting PFs have compiled the 24th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (36.3%).

The Golden State Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Draymond Green has committed 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's committed overall this season.

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Warriors.

Draymond Green has successfully made 67.1% of his free throw attempts this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile among all players in the NBA.

As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been lousy at getting to the free throw line: worst in the NBA this year, tallying a measly 20.1 free throw attempts per game.

The matchup against Aaron Gordon is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; when guarding opposing starting PFs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.8 free throws per game (10th percentile).

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