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Draymond Green

Draymond Green Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Draymond Green has successfully made 50.1% of his field goal attempts when playing at home this year, ranking in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Draymond Green has tallied 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.

The Bucks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Warriors.

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 7 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Bucks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Draymond Green has converted 25.5% of his three-point attempts this year, ranking in the 21st percentile out of all players in the league.

Draymond Green has accumulated 4.1 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.

The matchup against the Bucks is a difficult one; they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs over the last 25 games (11.4).

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been lousy at getting to the foul line of late: worst in the NBA over the last 15 games, tallying just 17.5 foul shots per game.

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