Draymond Green Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 9:57 PM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has converted 61.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 19.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
The matchup against Kristaps Porzingis is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 2.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game (83rd percentile).
The Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games as the road team.
The Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Draymond Green has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, their opposition has nabbed 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics (saving possessions that can bring about extra chances for offense).
Draymond Green will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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