Draymond Green Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 3:31 AM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has averaged 6.7 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 97th percentile.
Draymond Green has played 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's played overall this year.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 7 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Draymond Green will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Draymond Green has averaged 4.1 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Warriors.

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