Doug McDermott Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Orlando Magic · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 1.8 mark, Doug McDermott's personal fouls per game have been reduced this season to 1.1.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Spurs.
This year, opposing squads have snagged 9.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Magic (shortening possessions that could otherwise bring about additional opportunities for offense).
Doug McDermott ought to see a spike in efficiency for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Doug McDermott has averaged 0.2 offensive boards per game this year, ranking him among the worst players in the NBA by this standard: 16th percentile.
The Spurs will likely see a decline in possessions today from facing the slowest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Magic).
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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