Doug McDermott Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2024

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 2, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 12:53 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has committed 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (22nd percentile).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).
This year when they are on the road, their opposition has collected 9.6 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Grizzlies (reducing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

Doug McDermott has posted 0.1 offensive rebounds per game this year, placing him among the worst players in the NBA by this standard: 14th percentile.
The Spurs check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Doug McDermott will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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