Doug McDermott Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Doug McDermott rates in the 20th percentile for personal fouls, totaling just 1.2 fouls per game this year.
The 3rd-fastest pace team in the NBA this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from facing the fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Favors Under

Doug McDermott has tallied 0.2 offensive boards per game this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the league by this metric: 18th percentile.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with just 10.1 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have secured 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (retaining possessions that can lead to extra opportunities for offense).
Doug McDermott will likely suffer a reduction in output across the board due to being on the road in this matchup.

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