Doug McDermott Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:45 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs are expected to see an increase in plays today from competing against the fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Lakers).
Doug McDermott will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Doug McDermott has compiled 0.1 offensive boards per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 16th percentile -- among the NBA's worst by this metric.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 7thworst in in the league when playing at home with just 9.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
While playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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