Doug McDermott Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has averaged 1.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the league (23rd percentile).
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Doug McDermott has totaled 0.2 offensive rebounds per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile -- near the bottom of the league by this standard.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
Without the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Doug McDermott will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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