Doug McDermott Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has averaged 1.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (21st percentile).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league as the road team this year.
While at home, the Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Doug McDermott will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Doug McDermott has averaged 0.8 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the worst players in the league in this category: 18th percentile.
Doug McDermott has averaged 17.0 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 19th percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the NBA.
The Spurs are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year (the Kings).
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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