Doug McDermott Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+118/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has been called for 1.5 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 22nd percentile -- among the NBA's lowest-fouling.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.
The Spurs will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

Doug McDermott has tallied 1.3 rebounds per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 22nd percentile -- near the bottom of the league by this metric.
Doug McDermott has averaged 16.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the least-used players in the NBA: 14th percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing teams have grabbed 14.7 offensive boards per game (most in the league) against the Thunder (lengthening possessions that can create additional opportunities for offense).
Doug McDermott will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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