Doug McDermott Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:01 PM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+122/-159).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +126 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the road team this year.
The Spurs rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the other team has captured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Raptors (shortening possessions that could otherwise produce more chances for offense).
Doug McDermott should see an increase in efficiency across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Doug McDermott has compiled 0.3 offensive boards per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the worst players in the league by this standard: 12th percentile.
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Spurs.

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