Doug McDermott Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Doug McDermott will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Doug McDermott has averaged 1.6 rebounds per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 21st percentile -- among the league trailers by this standard.
The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Spurs.

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