Doug McDermott Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+106/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +109 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has been called for 1.1 personal fouls per game away from home this year, placing him in the 19th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Knicks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season on their home court (which can also produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Doug McDermott has compiled 0.3 offensive rebounds per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 24th percentile -- among the league's worst in this category.
The Spurs have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Knicks.
Doug McDermott will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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