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Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+104/-128).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +104.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Doug McDermott has converted 54.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 18.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.Doug McDermott has successfully made 58.9% of his treys over the last 5 games, 20.6% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season.The Kings check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 44.8% on three-pointers (5th-best in the NBA) against the Nuggets, branding this as a strong matchup.The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Sacramento Kings.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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In contrast to last year's 13.1 mark, Doug McDermott's playing time has diminished this year to 8.2 minutes per game.The 6th-most lethargic pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.The Sacramento Kings have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).Doug McDermott has attempted 0.3 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 6th percentile among all players in the league.This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Nuggets, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.
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