Doug McDermott Points - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2024

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Utah Jazz · Nov 16, 2024

Updated Nov 17, 2024 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Doug McDermott places in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, posting a mere 0.7 fouls per game this year.
The Kings have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 13 games.
The Jazz have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league while traveling this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Sacramento Kings.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 37.1% mark, Doug McDermott's field goal prowess has regressed this season to 27.5%.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings rank 3rdworst in in the league with a mere 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Among all players in the league, Doug McDermott rates in the 19th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with a feeble 58.3% rate this year.

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