Doug McDermott Points - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2024

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 21, 2024

Updated Apr 21, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has accumulated a measly 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 1.8 fouls per game last year.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 44.1% mark, Doug McDermott's field goal performance has diminished this season to 36.2%.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.
Doug McDermott has sunk a measly 55.2% of his foul shots this season, quite a bit less than his 72.4 mark last season.
As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been poor at getting to the free-throw line of late: 5th-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games with a mere 17.7 free throw attempts per game.
Doug McDermott is expected to see a decline in performance in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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