Doug McDermott Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Orlando Magic · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has made 2.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's made from three in all games this year while on his home court.
Relative to last season's 1.8 mark, Doug McDermott's personal fouls per game have been reduced this season to 1.1.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league as the home team this year as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Spurs.
This year, opposing squads have snagged 9.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Magic (shortening possessions that could otherwise bring about additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Doug McDermott has sunk 39.9% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 25th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have averaged 39.7% on three-pointers (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Magic, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The Spurs will likely see a decline in possessions today from facing the slowest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Magic).
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the league, Doug McDermott registers in the 14th percentile for drawing fouls, averaging just 0.4 free throws per game with the home court advantage this year.

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