Doug McDermott Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+112/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has made 58.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 13.3% more than he's made overall this season while playing on the road.
Doug McDermott has made 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's made from three over the course of the year without the home court advantage.
Out of all players in the NBA, Doug McDermott comes in at the 21st percentile for personal fouls, tallying a mere 1.1 fouls per game this year.
The Spurs rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games on the road as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have shot 44.1% on field goals (2nd-worst in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, designating this as a challenging matchup.

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Doug McDermott will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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