Doug McDermott Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2024

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 2, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has made 41.2% of his shots from downtown this year, placing him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league.
Doug McDermott has committed 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (22nd percentile).
In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have tallied 15.1 three-pointers per game (most in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, marking this as a positive matchup.
The Spurs check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Doug McDermott has successfully made 65.0% of his free throws this year, placing him in the 16th percentile out of all players in the league.
Doug McDermott will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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