Doug McDermott Points - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 17, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:38 PM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has successfully made 43.8% of his 3-point attempts while at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the league.
In regard to 3-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.
The Spurs are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 7th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has come down with 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (reducing possessions that could otherwise create bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

This year, opposing clubs have tallied 39.5 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, branding this as a favorable matchup.
The Spurs rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have attempted 25.2 free throws per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

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