Doug McDermott Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-140/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has converted 43.2% of his 3-pointers on the road this year, putting him in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA.
This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have averaged 45.2% on shot attempts from the field (6th-weakest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a challenging matchup.
The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs are expected to see an increase in plays today from competing against the fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Lakers).
Doug McDermott has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 25.0% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 7thworst in in the league when playing at home with just 9.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
While playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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