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Doug McDermott

Doug McDermott Points
Player Prop - 11/26/2023

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 38.7% clip, Doug McDermott's 3-point ability has increased this year to 48.2%.

Doug McDermott has averaged 1.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the league (23rd percentile).

This year when they are on the road, the other team has totaled 10.5 threes per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, marking this as a challenging matchup.

The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The San Antonio Spurs will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Without the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Relative to last year's 72.4% rate, Doug McDermott's foul-shot ability has tailed off this year to 62.5%.

Doug McDermott will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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