Doug McDermott Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs LA Clippers · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has successfully made a whopping 50.3% of his treys this year, quite a bit more than his 38.7 rate last year.
As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league playing at home over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have shot 45.8% on field goal attempts (7th-lowest in the league) against the Clippers, designating this as a difficult matchup.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Doug McDermott ought to see a rise in effectiveness across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Doug McDermott has played 16.9 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 19th percentile -- ranking among the least-used players in the NBA.
The Spurs are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year (the Clippers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The LA Clippers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Doug McDermott has successfully made a measly 50.0% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 64.7 rate last season.

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