Doug McDermott Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 38.7% rate, Doug McDermott's three-point efficiency has risen this season to 51.7%.
Doug McDermott has accumulated 1.3 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 22nd percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
The Spurs check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road in regard to three-point attempts.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league while on the road this year.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Grizzlies).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Doug McDermott registers in the 18th percentile for playing time, logging a mere 16.9 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are on the road, their opposition has tallied 15.9 three-pointers per game (highest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, creating a favorable matchup.
The Spurs have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Doug McDermott has made just 50.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, a significant dropoff from his 64.7 mark last year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have attempted 24.5 foul shots per game (5th-most in the league) against the Grizzlies, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

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