Doug McDermott Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has sunk a whopping 51.9% of his three-point attempts this season, a big improvement over his 38.7 mark last season.
With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league as the road team this year.
While at home, the Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have attempted 21.6 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Doug McDermott has made 2.2 field goals per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 20th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Doug McDermott has averaged 17.0 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 19th percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the NBA.
This year, their opposition has shot 37.3% on threes (7th-best in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Spurs are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year (the Kings).
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).