Doug McDermott Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has sunk 53.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 6.3% more than he's made in all games this year.
In comparison to last year's 38.7% mark, Doug McDermott's 3-point proficiency has jumped this year to 52.6%.
Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has averaged 46.7% on shot attempts from the field (8th-weakest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a hard matchup.
The 9th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Spurs.
Doug McDermott ought to see a rise in performance in all facets of the game considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Doug McDermott has averaged 0.0 technical fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 8thworst in in the league while playing away from home with only 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
On the road, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, their opposition has attempted 25.2 free throws per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the foul line.

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