Doug McDermott Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-109/-119).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has converted 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Jazz have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Doug McDermott will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increases player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Jazz have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; when the Jazz are on the road, their opposition have attempted a whopping 25.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-most in the league).

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