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Doug McDermott

Doug McDermott Points
Player Prop - 3/21/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Doug McDermott has sunk 2.5 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's sunk in all games this year.
  • The San Antonio Spurs have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home.
  • The San Antonio Spurs have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • Doug McDermott has successfully made 90.3% of his foul shots over the last 15 games on the road, 15.3% more than he's sunk in all games this season without the home court advantage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Doug McDermott has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the season on the road.
  • This matchup is a strong one for attempts from downtown; when the Pelicans are at home, their opposition have averaged the 7th-most three attempts per game in the league against them this year (35.8).
  • The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Spurs.
  • As a team, the San Antonio Spurs have been lousy at drawing fouls: 2nd-worst in the NBA this year, averaging a measly 21.1 foul shots per game.
  • This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted an enormous 28.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

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