Doug McDermott Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has sunk 38.0% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Doug McDermott has converted 89.8% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 10.8% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA at home this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
This matchup is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are away from home, opposing teams have compiled the 6th-highest 3-point percentage in the league against them this year (36.5%).
The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Spurs.

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