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Doug McDermott

Doug McDermott Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Orlando Magic

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Doug McDermott has successfully made 38.0% of his treys this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.

This matchup is a challenging one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have shot for the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the league over the last 25 games when the Magic are away from home (45.6%).

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Magic have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should boost opportunities for the Spurs.

The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.

Away from their home court, the Magic have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; when the Magic are the visiting squad, opposing teams have attempted a whopping 24.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the league).

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