Doug McDermott Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 13, 2023 2:31 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has converted 38.0% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.
This matchup is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Thunder are away from home, opposing squads have put up the 7th-lowest field goal percentage in the league against them this year (45.5%).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA on their home court this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
While playing away from home, the Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

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