Doug McDermott Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 10, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has made 38.0% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA while at home this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a good one; they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (121.5).
This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 28.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games (3rd-most in the league).

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