Doug McDermott Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has made 55.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 10.5% more than he's sunk in all games this year away from his home court.
Doug McDermott has successfully made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 21.9% higher than he's converted in all games this season without the home court advantage.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road (which can also produce new chances for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Lakers.

Favors Under

The Lakers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (14.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to three-point attempts.
Doug McDermott will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production across the board.

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