Doug McDermott Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has attempted 5.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
Doug McDermott has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 27.8% higher than he's sunk overall this season.
Doug McDermott has been called for 1.1 personal fouls per game away from home this year, placing him in the 19th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Knicks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season on their home court (which can also produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Knicks is a tough one for 3-point attempts; while on their home court, opposing teams have tallied the 6th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (36.6).
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year.
The Spurs have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Knicks.
Doug McDermott will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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