Doug McDermott Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 12:52 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 38.7% clip, Doug McDermott's 3-point ability has increased this year to 48.2%.
Doug McDermott has averaged 1.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the league (23rd percentile).
This year when they are on the road, the other team has totaled 10.5 threes per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, marking this as a challenging matchup.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 4.7 rate, Doug McDermott's shot attempts from beyond the arc have declined this year to 3.6 per game.
The Spurs have been the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
Without the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Doug McDermott will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce stat production for all stats.