Doug McDermott Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 12:28 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has sunk 66.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 11.9% higher than he's converted overall this year.
The 6th-quickest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs rank 10thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 11.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
With the home court advantage, the Knicks have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to the other team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to 3-point shots, the San Antonio Spurs's poor 34.7% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 8th-fewest in the league since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have averaged 36.2 3-point attempts per game (7th-most in the league) against the New York Knicks, marking this as a favorable matchup.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
Doug McDermott stands to suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats considering being on the road in this game.

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