Doug McDermott Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -210 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Doug McDermott rates in the 92nd percentile for 3-point performance while on his home court with a a phenomenal 39.8% rate since the start of last season.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the road team this year.
The Spurs rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the other team has captured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Raptors (shortening possessions that could otherwise produce more chances for offense).
Doug McDermott should see an increase in efficiency across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

With respect to three-pointers, the Spurs's feeble 35.2% rate of converted threes as the away team comes in as the 7th-weakest in the league since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have shot 36.7% on three-pointers (7th-highest in the league) against the Raptors, creating a favorable matchup.
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Spurs.

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