Doug McDermott Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 1:46 AM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Doug McDermott has converted 39.4% of his three-pointers this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league.
Doug McDermott has attempted 7.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
This matchup is a difficult one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the Suns are on their home court, opposing clubs have totaled the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (31.5).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Doug McDermott has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.4 more than he's committed in all games this season on the road.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 10th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The Suns have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Spurs.
The Suns have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Doug McDermott will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases stat production in all stat categories.