Doug McDermott Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Boston Celtics · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Dec 31, 2023 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Doug McDermott ranks in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, totaling only 1.3 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
Doug McDermott will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to boost stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

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