Doug McDermott Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2023

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Doug McDermott

NBA · Player Props

Doug McDermott

F · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 17, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:07 PM EST

Analysis

Doug McDermott Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-175).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.
The Spurs are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 7th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has come down with 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (reducing possessions that could otherwise create bonus opportunities for offense).
Doug McDermott will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Spurs rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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