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Dorian Finney-Smith

Dorian Finney-Smith Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Dorian Finney-Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dorian Finney-Smith has attempted 8.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

Dorian Finney-Smith has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 5.5 more than he's averaged overall this season at home.

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on three-pointers (5th-highest in the league) against the Nuggets, making this a favorable matchup.

The Lakers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

In regard to getting to the foul line, the Lakers's terrific 24.5 free throws per game while playing at home comes in as the best in the NBA this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dorian Finney-Smith has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (78th percentile).

The 7th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

The Lakers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Among all players in the NBA, Dorian Finney-Smith slots into the 19th percentile for foul-shot prowess with a feeble 66.1% rate this year.

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

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