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Dorian Finney-Smith

Dorian Finney-Smith Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2024

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat

Dorian Finney-Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Dorian Finney-Smith ranks in the 87th percentile for three-point shots hit on his home court, logging 2.4 per game this year.

The matchup against the Heat is a good one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 29th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (43.4%).

The Brooklyn Nets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, the other team has grabbed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Dorian Finney-Smith has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 30.0% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nets check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 15 games.

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Nets.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Nets.

Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) against the Heat, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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