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Dorian Finney-Smith

Dorian Finney-Smith Points
Player Prop - 11/25/2023

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat

Dorian Finney-Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dorian Finney-Smith has made an impressive 2.8 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.7 rate last year.

The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

This year, their opposition has captured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (7th-lowest in the league) against the Miami Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

Dorian Finney-Smith will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally improves player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dorian Finney-Smith has sunk a mere 36.9% of his shots from the field this year, a significant dropoff from his 31.1 mark last year.

With respect to shooting, the Nets's subpar 111.0 points per game away from home comes in as the 8th-fewest in the NBA this year.

This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have notched 16.1 points per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive production.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to decrease possessions for the Brooklyn Nets.

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.7 free throws per game (11th-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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